Risk and Return Illustration 4


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The rate of return of stocks of A and B under different states of economy are presented below along with the probability of the occurrence of each state of the economy.

Boom

Normal

Recession

Probability of Occurrence

Rate of Return on stock A (%)

Rate of Return on stock B (%)

  0.3

20.0

50.0

  0.4

30.0

30.0

  0.3

50.0

20.0

(a)    Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation of return for stocks A and for stocks B.

(b)            If you could invest in either stocks A or stocks B, but not in both, which stock would you prefer and why?

(c)            If the rate of return on stocks A was revised as shown below, would your preference in question (b) above change? Why?

 

Boom

Normal

Recession

Rate of Return on stock A (%)

50.0

40.0

30.0


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