INDUSTRY ANALYSIS:
The objective of the industry analysis is to assess the prospects of various industrial groupings. A careful analysis can suggest which industries have a brighter future than other and which industries are plagued with problems what are likely to persist for a while or intensify in future.
- Industry life cycle analysis.
- Study of the structure and characteristics of an industry.
- Profit potential of industries.
1. Industry life cycle analysis:
Many industrial economists believes that the development of almost every industry may be analyzed in terms of a life cycle with four well – defined stages.
- Pioneering Stage: during this stage, the technology and or the product is relatively new. Lured by promising prospects, many entrepreneurs enter the field. As a result, there is keen, and often chaotic, competition. Only a few entrants may survive this stage. [e.g. Aviation, Telecom etc.]
- Rapid growth stage: once the period of chaotic developments is over, the rapid growth stage arrives. [e.g. I.T]
- Maturity and stabilization stage: after enjoying an above average rate of growth during the rapid growth, the industry enters the maturity and stabilization stage. [e.g. FMCG Sector]
- Decline stage: with the satiation of demand, encroachment of new products and changes in consumer preference, the industry eventually enters the decline stage, relative to the economy as a whole. [e.g. Textile, Jute]
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2. Study of the structure and characteristics of an industry:
Since each industry is unique, a systematic study of it specific features and characteristics must be an integral part of the investment decision process, industry analysis should focus on the following:
(a)Â Â Â Structure of the industry and nature of competition.
(b)Â Â Nature and prospects of demand.
(c)Â Â Â Costs, efficiency and profitability.
3. Profit potential of industries:
Profit potential industry depends on the combined strength of the following basic competitive forces:
(a)Â Â Â Threat of new entrants: e.g. easy entry may push down the prices and reduces profitability.
(b) Â Rivalry among the existing firms.
(c)Â Â Â Pressure from substitute products.
(d)Â Â Bargaining power of buyers.
(For e.g. Profit Potential of Telecom sector has declined on account of above four points.)
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